Publication in the Diário da República: Bolonha 2008/09 [DR. 20757/2008 07.08.2008]
4 ECTS; 2º Ano, 1º Semestre, 45,0 TP , Cód. 992513.
Lecturer
(1) Docente Responsável
(2) Docente que lecciona
Prerequisites
Not applicable.
Objectives
An introduction to statistical decision theory as a tool for planning. The student should be able to interpret a problem through a probabilistic model and simulate several possible scenarios in order to quantify errors and decision costs.
Program
I - Linear Models, II - Concepts of Time Series, III - Simulation, IV - Decision with uncertainty and risk.
Evaluation Methodology
Final Exam
Bibliography
- Gama, S. e Pedrosa, A. (2007). Introdução Computacional à Probabilidade e Estatística. Lisboa: Porto Editora
- Glasserman, P. (2003). Monte Carlo Methods in Financial Engineering (Stochastic Modelling and Applied Probability). Springer: Springer
- Holloway, C. (1979). Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Models and Choices. Prentice - Hall: Prentice - Hall
- Murteira, B. (1996). Decisão Estatística para Gestores. Lisboa: UAL
Teaching Method
Lectures
Software used in class
Excel, SPSS
